Swing Trade Opportunities Gulluck by Gaurav Sir

INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY 

In alignment to the vision of smallcase I have chosen the emotional cycle of the market. Market want investors’ participation and this way create opportunities for some to take entry and some to exit.

The entries and exits have their own rationales so I had chosen fundamentally good stocks Business having Customer Base and the Growth Story, in which I really want to participate, in their journey and this gives me a connection to understand the Business. 

Current investment drivers –  This was very challenging for any research analyst because the world was Living in a fear of unexpected world war 3 like situations and global tensions that may lead to global recession as even mentioned by IMF. So I looked deep into this and selected the demand driven stocks which factored in all news in their prices. 

How the strategy performs across different market cycles – now we started Accumulating stocks in their Downswing each week in small quantities starting with just 3 stocks and then Diversified into a more meaningful portfolio covering promising growth sectors. But we not only added stocks but in each Upswing sold them partially to help us subscribers book real profit from their investments.

Current state of the markets and expectations – My approach is Relevant and based on observations of Foreign institutional data and Domestic institutional investments in light of global pressure and historical movement of price so our history tells that Indian markets are in a bullish phase and possibilities are we may see a bullish engulfing yearly candlestick on Charts.

I have 3 main reasons in support of my view and 2 warnings one should not ignore. 

1. We have seen the worst price of crude, highest inflation, strongest USD and none of them hampered the growth story of our economy.
2. Every time in history our markets have fallen because our markets have been dominated by Global factors and FPI. Now they got a counter by retail participants in the form of DII’s, Mutual Funds and smallcase like fintech’s . Buying from Domestic Participants, DII’s acts as a cushion and this we had seen in 2022 when whole year FIIs were the net sellers.
3. Government Banker, RBI spent a good amount of forex reserve to support our currency against rising USD, but if US keep on rising interest rates and Dollar keep on strengthening, US will loose significant amount of orders from other countries and their Deficit will increase, countries may form Trading blocs and start trading in their currency , even United States did not want this.

Now 2 warnings:

1. Depleting forex reserves is not a good sign so we investors are closely watching the data published on the RBI website.
2. If global recession is a true prediction for 2023 it may trigger a huge sell off. 

Who and why should someone invest in this smallcase?

Answer lies in the question itself. smallcase policies that place users first make the portfolio align to what it says. So when we say we review means that a professional research analyst who is publishing the smallcase is constantly sharing the rationales behind selection to help an investor take an informed decision, so i want to share 5 points-

1. I select the stocks based on good volume transactions visible in them.
2. I diversify my portfolio so that we can accumulate few stocks and sell few stocks periodically.
3. I review my stocks and share detail coverage of the stock with 3 type of persons accessing my reports. 

• An investor who wants to convert savings into investment opportunities available.
• An investment adviser seeking opportunities for their clients.
• A full time trader who wants to know the latest ideas of stocks with their entry level, stoploss and targets.

4. I am approachable on whatsapp so my clients can easily contact me and can solve the issues they are facing, if the issue is beyond my scope , I seek help from a smallcase professional help desk and they genuinely are very good.

5. I follow my ethics. and best known for my ethics, my source of income is the research that i share as a research analyst, so i keep good care of all my clients and never share with them anything which i feel is not good for our long term relations.